Is the hiatus in warfare about to end?

By Lt Gen Robert Fry

Message from the Editor

The author surveys recent drone warfare developments in Ukraine, pointing to the tactically revolutionary, but strategically not yet decisive, technological horizon. Russia and Ukraine will continue to seek marginal advantage in the attrition battle as both sides re-arm and await the Spring. Originally published in The Article (https://www.thearticle.com/stalemate-is-the-hiatus-in-warfare-about-to-end). A 10 minute read.

A short while ago a view was ventured in these pages [111/4, p. 25] that the war in Ukraine had stumbled into hiatus, as a transparent battlefield was being serviced by highly accurate, long-range weapons that meant any concentration of force, let alone decisive manoeuvre, had become impossible. As a result, Russian forces had reverted to grinding attritional tactics against Ukrainian defences sited in depth in a slow-moving slog, characterised as stalemate by the former Ukrainian Commander-in-Chief, General Valerii Zaluzhnyi. His candour may have cost him his job – but gave an accurate assess…

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